✅ 13 players you MUST draft in 2023

BEFORE they break out

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It's The Touchdown Press Newsletter. Your #1 source for all things fantasy football, DFS, and sports betting, along with 10,000+ fellow degenerates.

You made it to Friday! Hopefully you have a fantasy draft to look forward to this weekend!

Today in 5 minutes or less, you’ll learn:

  • Simmering stars about to blow the lid 🫕 

  • Late picks that are worth your time ⌚️

  • How to build a winner in your draft 📊 

  • What’s happening around the league? 🏈 

D.J. Moore (CHI), ADP 46.9, WR26:

Moore himself is a great talent and got more looks than you’d think in ‘22:

• 19th in ADOT (13.3%)

• 4th in deep targets (29)

• 12th in target share (27.7%)

• 1st in air yards share (48%)

And yet, he ranked 90th in catchable target rate and 7th in unrealized air yards, pointing to a serious QB problem.

He was brought to the Bears to be a WR1 for Justin Fields.

If Fields improves his own passing game this season, which he’s been working on, Moore is poised to be a monster.

Bijan Robinson (ATL), ADP 10.1, RB3:

Bijan is a 3-down back and considered the rookie with the best chance to breakout right away.

Last year at Texas, he ran for 1,580 yards on 258 carries for over 6.1 yards per carry, and evaded 17.4% of tackle attempts (2nd in FBS).

The Falcons ran the ball at the 2nd-highest percentage last year, even as a 7-10 football team that trailed often.

Desmond Ridder figures to make a leap, the other talented skill players will continue to gel, and the offensive line is considered a solid unit.

Bijan is set up better than anyone else for a breakout SZN.

J.K. Dobbins (BAL), ADP 57, RB18:

Despite his injury history, he flashed at the end of ‘22. He also showed great ability to break free:

• 2nd in juke rate (43.5%)

• 3rd in breakaway run rate (10.9%)

From Weeks 14-17, he averaged over 17 carries per game and never had fewer than 93 ground yards.

In Weeks 14 and 15 he went for over 120.

And in the Ravens’ playoff game, he caught 4 balls for 43 yards and a TD, which is promising potential.

After an offseason to get healthy, take a shot.

Jordan Addison (MIN), ADP 68, WR35:

The rookie steps into one of the league’s prolific attacks.

Minnesota averaged 39.6 pass attempts per game (3rd).

What’s more, 32-year-old Adam Thielen got 107 targets, but was inefficient with them.

K.J. Osborn has yet to really emerge as a big time threat.

Addison has a very good college resume. At Pitt in ‘21, he had 100 grabs for 1,593 yards and 17 TDs.

Basically, I think he can step in right away and exceed Thielen’s production with more youth, speed, and efficiency.

Kadarius Toney (KC), ADP 74.8, WR39:

We all have to agree that Andy Reid is a great coach.

Well, he let Juju Smith-Schuster and Mecole Hardman walk away, knowing he had Toney on the roster.

Juju and Hardman had 135 targets between them.

Now that Toney has his footing, he can put that good efficiency to use that he showed back in 2021:

• 1st in juke rate (66.7%)

• 19th in target separation (1.79)

• 17th in yards per route run (2.13)

He only got 20 targets in ‘22, but with some health and another year to acclimate to the Chiefs, he’ll be a part of one of the scariest offensive attacks in the NFL.

I’m thinking he can stay healthy in this powerful offense and grabbing the OVER on his PrizePicks prop of 650.5 yards.

Jahan Dotson (WAS) ADP 76.9, WR40:

Dotson's 7 total TDs, top-14 ADOT (13.5), and 16th ranked yards per catch (14.9) are all encouraging signs for a rookie.

And his usage went way up over the final 5 games when he averaged 7 targets and scored 3 total times.

Sam Howell has been named the starter in Washington, with Eric Bieniemy calling the plays.

And while Dotson may still be considered the no. 2 on the roster behind Terry McLaurin, his talent is making fantasy managers look twice.

Keep Dotson in mind as a WR3 with a much higher upside.

Rachaad White (TB), ADP 83.5, RB26:

White is now the unquestioned starter in Tampa Bay, and a very strong pass-catching back.

His 50 receptions was 11th among all RBs, and he wasn’t the primary guy for much of the season.

When he really did start to siphon touches from Leonard Fournette, he showed the value he brings to fantasy, posting 12.6 points per game from Weeks 10-17.

His 38.2% opportunity share is bound to rise significantly.

I expect White to solidify himself as a quality fantasy choice.

J. Williams (DET), ADP 96.9, WR49:

After his suspension, Williams will join an offense that was very good for fantasy football purposes last season.

The Lions were 5th in points, 4th in yards per game, while ranking 28th in points allowed and 25th in yards allowed.

Williams has a 1st-round draft pedigree and elite speed, with a 4.30 40-time.

And his last year in college, 2021 was great:

• 79 catches

• 1,572 yards

• 15 touchdowns

• 19.9 yards per catch

Williams’s role while he’s suspended will go to Marvin Jones, who is capable player but 11 years older than Williams and won’t provide the same speed down the field.

Greg Dulcich (DEN), ADP 135.6, TE14:

Dulcich flashed a bit last season:

• 3rd in ADOT (10.6)

• 3rd in deep targets (12)

• 9th in yards per catch (12.5)

• 7th in air yards share (18.6%)

• 7th in target separation (2.36)

• 7th in unrealized air yards (312)

Sean Payton gets the most out of his TEs. He plans to move Dulcich around to create mismatches in coverage.

Those mismatches could lead to a huge year for the Broncos as well as thousands of fantasy managers.

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Chig Okonkwo (TEN), ADP 129.6, TE12:

Chig’s rookie performance was super impressive:

• 11th in ADOT (7.9)

• 2nd in target rate (33.3%)

• 1st in yards per route run (3.26)

• 1st in yards per reception (14.1)

• 3rd in contested catch rate (62.5%)

He was short on raw targets, with just 46 on the year (30th).

That will have to improve for a true breakout season, but the Titans are looking for more from sophomore WR Treylon Burks, who may also breakout.

The two of them together could end up being lethal if the Titans put more focus on the passing game this year.

Kenny Pickett (PIT), ADP 167.2, QB23:

Pickett’s a first round guy who’s now had a year to acclimate in his coaches’ offensive system.

His O-line is improved and he’s got a nice list of pass-catchers to help support his growth, including Diontae Johnson, George Pickens, and Pat Freiermuth.

Even with some growing pains, Pickett stood out as a rookie in a few fantasy-relevant ways:

• 2nd in catchable pass rate

• 6th in deep ball accuracy rating

• 6th in under pressure accuracy rating

He rushed for 237 yards and 3 TDs last year as well, so there is potential for more rushing upside.

I think he’ll be more of a fantasy asset in Year 2.

Roschon Johnson (CHI), ADP 151.6, RB48:

Johnson has some good size to him, at 6’ and 219 lbs.

He is a beast at forcing missed tackles with a 49% rate.

(FantasyPros)

He graded highly as a pass catcher, and will compete for carries with Khalil Herbert and D’Onta Foreman.

Those guys have some talent, but have never really carved out their own roles as. no. 1 backs for their teams.

It doesn’t hurt that PlayerProfiler compares him to Josh Jacobs. We know what he’s done in fantasy football.

Brock Purdy (SF), ADP 171, QB24:

Purdy surprised everyone last year when he stepped in and played great ball for the 49ers' hot stretch run.

He threw 13 TDs over the final 6 games, with 4 QB ratings over 100. Pretty nifty play for Mr. Irrelevant.

Brock’s skill players are impressive on paper, with the likes of Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, George Kittle, and Brandon Aiyuk.

As a unit, they rank first in yards after the catch.

Pending health, Purdy could find a lot of success.

😱 Raider Jacobs Threatens Holdout as Deadline Looms

✍️ Jets Lock Up DT: Massive $96M Deal

🦁 Lions GM Raves About Elite Dual-Threat Weapon

🚔 Legal Issues Threaten Washington Commanders Sale

😳 Mahomes Hypes Teammate Toney as Elite

🙌 Scout Analyst Raves About Commander QB

😥 Giants in Deadline Dilemma as Barkley Talks Stall

📺 Hard Knock Life for Rodgers and Jets in Primetime

🚫 Zero-Player Strategy: No One Picked in Draft

🚨 Saints RB Now Faces Consequences

See you tomorrow, fantasy fans!

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