💰3 Games to STACK on DraftKings if you want to WIN in Week 6

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DFS is hard...

This will help you do better in Week 6.

Because to win on DraftKings, you MUST get these 3 NFL games right:

Back at it again with @LordReebs, breaking down the games of the week.

Here's what we found...

And why it matters for you in Week 6

Back at it again with @LordReebs, breaking down the games of the week.

Here's what we found...

And why it matters for you in Week 6👇

Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh (+8):

1pm features some one-sided games, the BYEs are here.

But this game gives us some options.

Let's start with Tampa.

Tom Brady ($6,300) is starting to sling it.

Over the first few weeks, he was 1% under pass rate expectation.

The last 2?

16% and 18% OVER that same stat.

He's got 385 and 381 yards in that span.

Part of it is running game troubles. BUT…

The Bucs WRs are healthier than before.

And the Steelers struggle vs. the pass:

• 26th in TD rate to QB

• 26th in yards per pass

• 26th in passing points per game (17.2)

TB likes all that 26.

Leonard Fournette ($7,400) actually has 17 catches in the last two games.

2 reception TDs as well.

So he's still in play.

Even in a struggling ground game.

Which WRs stand out the most?

Mike Evans ($7,000) is among the most talented, but no one rushes to play him.

Along with the Steelers troubles, they allow 20.6 PPR points per game to WR1s.

They're also 31st to boundary WRs.

And already allowed five 100-yard games.

Evans is worth the price.

Chris Godwin ($6,100) is a little sketchier.

He only ran 5 routes in second half last week, as the Bucs managed his load.

If TB cruises again, watch out.

Especially with an ownership that could approach 20%.

PIT has some viable WRs, even though they have the fewest TDs in the league.

George Pickens ($4,600) is a value play.

But be careful. Why?

Bucs are strong against boundary WRs.

So he and Dionte Johnson ($5,700) could have some trouble.

In fact…

George Pickens under 10.5 fantasy points is a lock on PrizePicks this week.

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Let's head back to TB-PIT.

So for Pittsburgh, we can kind of throw targets at the wall.

We think Chase Claypool ($4,500) may stick.

Pat Freiermuth is dealing with his 3rd concussion in a calendar year.

And as good as Tampa is vs. the boundary, they aren't vs. the slot.

They allow 10.7 yds per target vs. slot WRs.

And 15.2 yds per catch.

Claypool had 9 targets last week. We'll take that at his price.

Not the sexiest pick, but could be smart.

Meanwhile, our offseason Najee Harris ($6,000) concerns are coming true.

Bad efficiency, kind of hurt.

He benefited from Big Ben's last year when he couldn't push the ball downfield.

Now PIT is 31st in NFL in targeting RBs.

We'll fade him this week.

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Arizona at Seattle (+2.5):

Lots of eyeballs on this one.

For good reason.

Let's start with Seattle's D, aka "The Gift from Fantasy Heavens."

All positions are hitting against these guys.

Teams are getting points on half of drives.

They allow the most drives to get to the RZ.

The numbers are historically bad, even against weak QB play.

The good news for fantasy?

They're much better on offense, and have the ability to punch back.

In fact, they score on 62.5% of first half possessions, best number in the league.

It makes for strong fantasy football.

But we have issues with Kliff Kingsbury.

Here's why…

Arizona hasn't scored a single point in the first quarter this year.

That's a tough stat to overcome.

BUT, they're no. 1 in scoring in second half.

Will we see Seattle pull ahead and watch the Cardinals catch up? Maybe.

Could be highest scoring game on slate.

For the Seattle offense, we have an age-old question:

Tyler Lockett ($5,600) or DK Metcalf ($6,800)?

Metcalf is #good and he's getting targets.

In fact, with he's 3rd in the league with 30.9% of team's targets.

He also averages 3 yards per route (7th).

He's costlier but he'll get the looks.

The downside?

Arizona has been decent vs. WR1s.

Cooper Kupp had just 44 yards.

A.J. Brown had just 32.

With SEA, though, it's a narrow target tree.

We'll take our chances with the looks.

Then again…

RunTheSims simulates the slate 10,000 times.

And Metcalf is 64.4% favorite to go UNDER 67.5 receiving yards.

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Marquise Brown ($7,200) has run the most routes in the league this year.

He has double-digit targets in 4 straight.

SEA is decent vs. boundary WRs, but Hollywood is too good not to produce.

What about in the slot?

Rondale Moore ($4,200) moved back into the slot last week.

He played 83% of snaps from there.

Hilarious considering his price doesn't move.

So he'll have high ownership.

Don't forget about Zach Ertz ($4,900).

This is a phenomenal TE matchup.

Ertz had big games vs. Seattle last year.

Price is cheap for a 15+ point potential.

Finally, let's talk the game's RBs…

Kenneth Walker ($5,400) will be popular on DraftKings.

He was 41st overall pick for a reason.

We saw his 69-yard TD last week, and the big-play potential has always been there.

Now that Rashaad Penny is out, he's a fine play.

Eno Benjamin ($4,600) on the other side intrigues us.

James Conner is out indefinitely, as reported on Thursday.

Darrell Williams is already out.

Eno has some receiving chops, and he'll want a piece of the Gift of the Seattle D.

They've allowed 12.7 PPR receiving pts to RBs.

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Buffalo at Kansas City (+2.5):

The O/U is 53.5 points,

6.5 more than the second highest.

The marquee game for the slate.

What do we do with this one?

We all remember the playoff game.

Wow.

Maybe the best 4 minutes of football ever.

Tyreek Hill accounted for a huge amount of the KC offense that day.

Their WRs are now kind of a hodgepodge.

Patrick Mahomes ($8,200) can feel it too...

KC is 30th in rate of targets to WRs.

And they have just 2 TDs this year.

It's been a tough go for the WR room.

It's a problem for our fantasy builds too.

Maybe Marquez Valdes-Scantling ($4,500) will draw some ownership?

The Bills are good vs. wideouts. They don't blitz or give up big plays.

Mahomes has his passing TDs, but a low yards per attempt over the last few weeks.

The big plays at WR are just not there. Long drives are necessary.

That's good for the RBs, right?

Well…

Clyde Edwards-Helaire ($6,300) has 12 or fewer touches in 4 of the games so far.

Man, what do we do?

Travis Kelce ($7,800) is costly, but may not be highly-owned.

Why?

Well, Kelce is on pace for career-low in yards per reception, but with 7 TDs, that's nearly irrelevant.

He just makes it so you have to get creative with lineups.

The Chiefs are a tough team to stack.

For Buffalo, we'll start with Stefon Diggs ($8,400).

In 4 games vs. KC, 77 is his high in yards.

He's got just 1 TD in that sample, too.

It's the coverage…

The Chiefs devote so much energy to Diggs, that he opens it up for others.

At times last season it was Emmanuel Sanders and Cole Beasley stepping up.

And we all remember the Gabe Davis ($6,500) game.

On the other hand…

Opposing WR1 vs. Chiefs average 22.5 PPR points per game (31st).

They give up lots of TDs.

So do you err on the side of the Chiefs getting burned?

Or Stefon's statistics?

Let's talk RBs for Buffalo.

Devin Singletary ($5,900) looks decent.

He's been the foxhole guy for Buffalo.

Consider:

In close games, he's getting touches in the mid-teens.

But if the Bills led safely, that number goes down to 10 or 11.

The implied game script is favorable here.

Josh Allen ($8,200) averaging highest passing rate to RBs of his career.

And the Chiefs let up a lot of PPR passing points to RBs.

If you aren't paying for Diggs, Singletary's tea leaves can be read favorably.

Josh Allen should be $9,000 by the way…

He's been a top 5 QB every week.

Yes, you gotta get more creative if you pay up for him in lineups, but let's be honest...

We have to treat him like the dominant RBs of the last few years.

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