🏆 The 5 BEST WR draft picks

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It's The Touchdown Press Newsletter. Your #1 source for all things fantasy football, DFS, and sports betting, along with 10,000+ fellow degenerates.

Midweek already! It’s like the halftime of work.

Today in 5 minutes or less, you’ll learn:

• 2 can’t miss STUDs 👑 

• 2 mid-round contributors 📈 

• 1 DEEP sleeper 😴 

• The latest news from around the NFL 🏈 

Cooper Kupp (LAR), ADP 4.1, WR3:

Chances are you won’t grab Justin Jefferson, but if you have one of the next few picks, Kupp is looking better and better.

Before his injury last year, he was on pace to catch over 150 passes and was WR1 in PPR PPG (22.4).

That was on top of his monster ‘21, when he finished with 25.9.

Reports out of training camp have been positive, as it seems there is no need to worry about his ankle. He’s been creating separation from DBs and making plays down the field.

Take a look at the volume he gets with Matt Stafford:

• 4th in target rate (31.5%)

• 3rd in target share (31.0%)

• 11th in target separation (2.15)

• 7th in yards per route run (2.61)

• 2nd in fantasy points per route run (0.65)

There aren’t a lot of tremendous targets on the team to compete for those looks, aside from Van Jefferson and Tyler Higbee.

Dance with who brung ya.

Draft Kupp with a high pick, and it looks like he’ll produce again.

Calvin Ridley (JAX), ADP 28.8, WR16:

Training camp observations aren’t the best indicator of regular season success, but they’re what we have.

And Ridley’s been stealing the show down in DUVAL.

With a rising Jacksonville offense, a big comeback seems more likely than not at this point.

He’s a big upgrade over Marvin Jones, who commanded 81 targets in ‘22, believe it or not.

Back in 2021, Ridley was 5th in route win rate (51%), and 4th in air yards share (40%), but if we go back to 2020 we can really see what we’re chasing if we draft this guy:

• 1st in air yards (2,063)

• 1st in deep targets (40)

• 2nd in red zone targets (22)

• 2nd in air yards share (41.4%)

You know I believe in this Jaguar offense. Trevor Lawrence is on the rise and has seemingly improved by the week since Urban Meyer left Jacksonville.

The team was 9th in 2022 with 35.9 passes per game.

The chance is there for Ridley to become a stud again.

I think he’ll easily surpass the 70.5 receptions he’s listed for on PrizePicks.

How about you?

Brandon Aiyuk (SF), ADP 51.3, WR28:

According to Coach Kyle Shanahan, Aiyuk has been football-obsessed all offseason, calling to discuss workouts and missed opportunities from 2022.

All that thinking has led to an explosive start to training camp.

Aiyuk had his first 1,000 yard season in ‘22, catching 78 of his 113 targets for 1,015 yards, and a PPR WR15 finish.

And he can absolutely get open:

• 13th in route win rate (47.8%)

• 3rd in target separation (2.31)

And the volume numbers look good:

• 11th in TDs (8)

• 11th in snap share (91.1%)

• 16th in air yards share (32.5%)

• 17th in yards after the catch (326)

This guy just continues to get better each year.

He and Deebo Samuel have a healthy respect and competition with each other, and even though Deebo is drafted 20 spots earlier, Aiyuk bested him in fantasy PPG (13.4 vs. 13.0).

Ultimately I think he’s the best value on the 49ers offense at this post-round 4 ADP. Target him.

Diontae Johnson (PIT), ADP 56.4, WR29:

Johnson is a target machine.

In fact, he was one of just 3 WRs to see 140+ targets for 3 straight years. (per @AlexCaruso).

In 2022 he commanded the 13th target share (27%) and the 6th-most total targets in the league (147).

But he was 2nd in unrealized air yards (875) and didn’t find the end zone once during the season.

That’s a statistical blip. It WILL change this season.

Johnson has some other encouraging signs:

• 10th in RZ targets (18)

• 4th in juke rate (15.1%)

• 11th in total route wins (240)

As the Steeler offense played together last season, they continued to improve all year. Kenny Pickett and the O-line got better under the staff of Mike Tomlin.

Johnson’s a great value where he’s being drafted. If you get a chance to pounce here, you won’t regret it.

Isaiah Hodgins (NYG), ADP 171, WR73:

My sleeper pick of the day.

Hodgins caught on nicely at the end of the year for the G-Men. He caught 4 TDs over the final 5 regular season games.

He also had a monster playoff game, catching 8 balls for 105 yards and a score in the win vs. Minnesota.

And oh yeah, he did that on a broken foot, showing incredible toughness when his team needed it the most.

Hodgins has a huge 6’4” frame and a large catch radius that makes it easy on QBs (8th in catchable target rate), and allows him to get open:

• 1st in route win rate (53%)

• 1st in win rate vs. man (56.5%)

• 7th in fantasy points per target (2.13)

With Daniel Jones improving his game and becoming a top-10 fantasy QB, it’s fair to expect someone to emerge for him.

Hodgins could be it, and he’s basically free in drafts.

🏈 Broncos Sign CB to BOOST Defense

🚨 Lions Waive Zylstra After Injury

🤔 Dolphins View Dalvin Cook as "Luxury" Signing

🌟 Seahawks Rookie WR Shines in Camp

💔 Bengals RB Trayveon Williams Carted Off

🏴 Baker Builds Momentum for Bucs

🤕 Bears RB Misses Practice with Unknown Injury

🛫 Aaron Rodgers Expects Long Partnership with Jets

🚪 Cowboys "Reading Tea Leaves" on Ezekiel Elliott

✨ Bucs Coaches See "Star Potential" in RB Rachaad White

Chase more of those upsides with me tomorrow, fans!

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