💣 7 players about to EXPLODE on your fantasy team

WE ARE BACK.

It's The Touchdown Press Newsletter. Your #1 source for all things fantasy football, DFS, and sports betting, along with 10,000+ fellow degenerates.

If I mentioned Kirk Cousins, do you think he’d print this out for his memory room?

Today in 5 minutes or less, you’ll learn:

• Skyrocketing young players 🚀 

• Who can help you WIN your league? 🏆

• Prime breakout candidates 💥 

• The latest news from around the NFL 🏈 

Chris Olave (NO), ADP 26.2, WR13:

This kid’s been getting a lot of well-deserved hype.

After a stellar rookie season, he earned a top-10 receiving grade from PFF, and seems ready to rise to the next level.

Some of the highlights from last season:

• 4th in deep targets (29)

• 12th in route win rate (48.1%)

• 3rd in air yards share (40.8%)

• 5th in unrealized air yards (845)

• 10th in yards per route run (2.57)

Derek Carr is in New Orleans.

He isn’t everyone’s favorite QB, but he’s a veteran who can create good numbers, from a volume standpoint.

Olave said all the right things recently when speaking about Carr’s effect on his game. The respect is real between the two, and will go a long way toward building a good rapport.

Finally, while there are questions around some of the Saints’ skill players, like Alvin Kamara and Michael Thomas, Olave’s youth makes him the best bet on the team.

He’s got huge pop-off potential going into this season. You won’t regret the draft pick.

Trevor Lawrence (JAX), ADP 89.3, QB8:

Evan Engram spoke to the press this week and indicated that he and his offensive teammates shared some great workouts recently, and they haven’t missed a beat.

That’s good news for a team with huge expectations.

As for Lawrence, the performances and the numbers just keep getting better as he progresses into Year 3.

Check out his splits from pre and post Week 10 last year:

• Fantasy PPG: 16.6 to 19.7

• Yards per game: 230.6 to 254.8

• Completion Percentage: 64.3 to 67.2

(Stats from Rotoballer)

In addition to the generational passing talent, Lawrence is mobile enough that he finished 10th in rush yards (291), 5th in rush TDs (5), and 8th in RZ carries (14).

That boosts his upside in a big way.

With Calvin Ridley added to the already talented cast of skill guys, this Jags squad is locked and loaded.

Pat Freiermuth (PIT), ADP 86.4, TE8:

Pat is about to explode big in his 3rd year as Kenny Pickett improves his game and raises the offense higher.

They already got a LOT better in the 2nd half of last year. I see no reason for that not to continue.

Freiermuth was a TE1 (top-12) in 9 of his 15 games played.

Also:

• 8th in ADOT (8.7)

• 3rd in deep targets (12)

• 9th in target share (19%)

Despite an increase in targets, receptions, yards, and yards per catch from ‘21 to ‘22, he went down in scores, going from 7 all the way down to 2.

He’s due for more Ta-Das in ‘23.

That positive TD regression should allow Big Pat to best his PrizePicks futures TD number of 4.5. Grab it now!

J.K. Dobbins (BAL), ADP 49.7, RB19:

This is a make-or-break year for Dobbins, as it’s his last chance to earn a big payday after his rookie deal.

He should be healthy and highly motivated.

One big check in the right direction is that Todd Monken reportedly wants to get Dobbins more involved in the passing game, which we saw a hint of in the playoff game, when he caught 4 balls for 43 yards.

In fact, we finally saw some flash from Dobbins last season:

• 2nd in juke rate (43.5%)

• 3rd in breakaway run rate (10.9%)

From Weeks 14-17, he averaged over 17 carries per game, never finishing with fewer than 93 yards.

Going into this year, he looks like the Ravens no. 1 guy.

That could pay off big time in the fantasy realm.

Nico Collins (HOU), ADP 124.9, WR53:

At 6’4” and 215 pounds, Collins can outmuscle defenders for contested catches — and he showed it.

He was 4th in true catch rate (112.1%) and 2nd in contested catch rate (66.7%) in ‘22.

From Weeks 10-13, his best stretch, he earned 9 targets per game and had 2 finishes inside the top-25.

Now that Brandin Cooks is gone, he has a real shot to take over the no. 1 role. The other WRs on the roster are an aging Robert Woods and a few guys who have yet to establish themselves.

Perhaps the most promising thing is the way he’s already built a rapport with rookie QB C.J. Stroud, who will try to bring his accuracy, arm strength, and mechanics.

Stroud looked Collins’s way often during spring workouts, with multiple reports that he seemed to be the favorite target.

And while the Texans project to improve from 3-13-1 record, they’ll still trail. It bodes well for passing game usage.

In summary, I think Collins has a shot to DESTROY this ADP and provide valuable fantasy production for your team.

Russell Wilson (DEN), ADP 158.8, QB17:

Lot’s of spilled ink about the Denver Broncos and their ability to bounce back this year under Sean Payton.

Wilson’s deep ball was poor in ‘22, which killed the vibe.

It’s not like he didn’t take the shots, though. He was 8th in air yards (4,441) and 1st in deep ball attempts (87).

If you’ve seen pictures of him, you know he’s in much better shape this year. At the very least it shows commitment.

And as recently as ‘21 he was:

• 11th in deep ball accuracy rating (6.3)

• 11th in under pressure accuracy rating (6.4)

With popular fantasy names like Jerry Jeudy, Courtland Sutton, and Greg Dulcich, the comeback is on!

If you’re playing superflex he’s a terrific QB2 option, and has real potential to be a valuable asset in normal leagues too.

Tony Pollard (DAL), ADP 17.3, RB5:

Pollard is finally about to get his shot at the Cowboys’ backfield without having to share it with Ezekiel Elliott.

He was RB8 in fantasy points per game in ‘22 (15.6), but that was on just a 48.1% opportunity share (34th).

With the chances predicted to skyrocket, Pollard will have more of a shot to showcase his elite athletic skills:

• 5th in yards per touch (5.9)

• 2nd in yards per reception (9.5)

• 4th in yards per route run (1.82)

• 4th in breakaway run rate (8.8%)

• 8th in yards created per touch (3.30)

As for his injury from last season, it seems as though there’s no need to worry.

He said as recently as June that he wasn’t really limited any longer, and he should be 100% ready to go by the time Dallas camp opens.

We’re all excited to see what happens without Zeke.

🦁 Lions Bolster Receiving Corps With Intriguing Trade

✍️ Eagles Sign Tackle, Strengthening Formidable O-Line

😮 A Threat to Rhamondre? Pats Work Out FA RBs

🤕 Jets' Place Fantasy Star on Active/PUP List

💪 Jets Secure Pass-Rushing Talent in Four-Year Deal

👀 Titans Eye Free Agent OT Amidst Line Concerns

🏈 Chiefs RB Practices Despite Injury Concerns

🟫 Browns Release DT After Assault Charges Dropped

🤠 Cowboys OL May Not Report to Camp

Come back tomorrow for something a little different… a DEFENSE article!

The Touchdown Press is a must-read for every NFL fan — pure signal, highly actionable, and one-liners funny enough to make you pee a little bit.

If this one didn’t hit the spot, reply to this email... I would love to hear from you on how you think we can do better next time.

rs