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📈 Draft these 3 players in fantasy football 2023

📈 Draft these 3 players in fantasy football 2023

Increase your odds of winning 10x

Joe Holka
July 06, 2023

WE ARE BACK.

It's The Touchdown Press Newsletter. Your #1 source for all things fantasy football, DFS, and sports betting, along with 10,000+ fellow degenerates.

Summer is heating up and so is fantasy draft season!

Today in 5 minutes or less, you’ll learn:

Will Jones live up to his Giant contract? 🤔
Raheem’s role in Miami’s backfield 🏃‍♂️
Why this Cowboy is ready to Gallup 🤠
Everything happening around the NFL 🏈

Daniel Jones (NYG), ADP 112.8, QB14:

Think back to last summer. Who were your ten most likely league-winning QBs?

If you said Jones was one of them, congratulations. He finished the typical fantasy playoffs, Weeks 16 and 17, with 21.8 and 36.2 points, respectively.

That made him the highest fantasy scorer in that time frame.

There are plenty of signs he’s ready to run it back and become a boon for your team once again.

Let’s start with some metrics:

• 5th in accuracy rating (8.0)

• 7th in fantasy points per drop back (0.57)

• 1st in true completion percentage (75.7%)

• 3rd in red zone completion percentage (64.3%)

The raw passing numbers weren’t amazing, but Jones more than made up for that with sweet, sweet ground production:

• 3rd in rush TDs (7)

• 5th in rushing yards (708)

• 5th in rushing yards per game (44.3)

We all know these numbers are a QB cheat code.

Oh yeah, those underwhelming passing numbers were very much due to having an underwhelming cast of receivers.

The team added Parris Campbell and Darren Waller to go with Darius Slayton (Saquon Barkley caught 57 balls too), so the group has nowhere to go but up.

Reports are that Waller has made an immediate connection with Jones (Bleacher Report), and will absolutely help improve the Giants’ 22nd-ranked 3rd-down conversion rate.

Jones just got PAID by the Giants, which means the team and Brian Daboll’s staff have tons of confidence in him.

Being drafted at QB14, I do too. He’ll be a top-10 guy again.

With the new weapons, Jones should be able to build on his strong season. I think he’ll reach his PrizePicks futures pick of 3,275.5 passing yards.

Raheem Mostert (MIA), ADP 170.5, RB52:

Ah the dreaded Miami running back room.

The situation makes me nervous, but here’s why I’m ready to take a look at Mostert at current draft position:

• 20th in yards per touch (5.2)

• 16th in true yards per carry (4.6)

• 22nd in breakaway run rate (5.5%)

He also had 6 top-20 fantasy finishes.

Mike McDaniel wants to run a modern (read: fast) offensive scheme. Mostert came into the league with elite speed and burst scores (94+ percentile).

Mostert beat out Chase Edmonds early last season and clung to that role the entire way.

He did split work with teammate Jeff Wilson, and posted incredibly similar raw numbers, but Mostert was the better runner, catching a higher percentage of his targets and out-rushing Wilson in yards after contact.

(per @AndrewErickson_ of FantasyPros)

Rookie Devon Achane now brings his speed to South Beach. If you want to argue that he’s the better dynasty pick, I won’t fight you.

But with the experience, the pedigree, the familiarity with Coach McDaniel, and the fact that he’s currently being drafted in a similar spot as Wilson, I’m taking a chance on Mostert to emerge as Miami’s productive back.

Warning shot:

People have been telling me to do this for years, but 2023 is the last season my fantasy football draft kit will be free.

However, if you deposit $5 here🔗(Code:JHS100) and fill out this Google form🔗, you will be grandfathered into a FREE draft kit in 2024 and a MASSIVE discount in 2025.

And it's risk free…

If you complete above and don't make the playoffs this year after opening my newsletter every day, I'll 100% refund this $5 deposit.

Michael Gallup (DAL), ADP 132.9, WR61:

Gallup has gotten himself forgotten over the last few years after posting a solid 1,107-yard campaign back in 2019 (WR17 in fantasy PPG).

Since then he’s faded harder and faster than Dallas’s Super Bowl hopes each December and January.

So why the confidence now?

First of all, Gallup is healthy for the first time in years. He tore his ACL in ‘21 which followed him into ‘22.

He often claimed to be “overthinking” it. This summer, he’s gone so far as to claim he’s feeling “springy.”

Whatever that means, it sounds like a guy who’s healed.

The other aspect is that Dak Prescott knows him, which gives him an edge over newcomer Brandin Cooks.

He enjoyed an 86.9% route participation in ‘22 (35th) and commanded 13 RZ targets (30th) despite missing games and starting the year slowly.

Cooks will take some opportunity away, but Gallup still managed a top-40 WR finish in 2020 behind 2 other Cowboys, despite missing Dak for much of the year.

(Rotoballer)

Playing with Cooks and CeeDee Lamb means he’ll be working in one of the league’s premier passing attacks.

Take the guy in the good offense. Every time.