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  • đź’°Stack These 3 Teams if you want to WIN you DraftKings/FanDuel in Week 11!

đź’°Stack These 3 Teams if you want to WIN you DraftKings/FanDuel in Week 11!

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You want these 17 players in your DraftKings/Fanduel lineups if you want to WIN

Trying to WIN on DraftKings this Week?

Then you better STACK these 3 games...

We can help with that, read this:

Back at it again with @LordReebs, breaking down the games of the week.

Here's what we found...

And why it matters for you in Week 11

Detroit Lions at New York Giants (-3):

The Lions just keep finding their way back to us. 

Game has 3rd-highest O/U on the slate.  

Production potential here.

Let's start with the familiar, and attack that Lions' Defense:

• 32.2% of drives score a TD (worst)

• 45% of drives against reach the RZ or score before they get there

That opens it up for Saquon Barkley (DK $8,900 - FD $9,700).

New York is just riding Saquon.

35 carries last week, a game with 31 earlier in the year. 

Has 227 touches so far. 

The last two years combined he had 228. 

It's a magnificent workload!

The offense runs through him.

Obligatory Detroit Defensive Stats:

• Allow 5 YPC to RBs (27th)

• 29th in success rate vs. RB carries

• Allow a 1st down or TD on 27% of RB carries (worst)

The matchup checks all boxes for a big Saquon day. 

Who else for NYG?

Obligatory Detroit Defensive Stats:

• Allow 5 YPC to RBs (27th)

• 29th in success rate vs. RB carries

• Allow a 1st down or TD on 27% of RB carries (worst)

The matchup checks all boxes for a big Saquon day. 

Who else for NYG?

More Lions D Stats:

• Allow 8.2 yards per pass attempt

• Allow 5.2% TD rate to opposing QBs

• Allow league-high rush yards to QBs... 

The last one is true even if you remove Justin Fields's game last week. Yikes.

Even non-mobile guys are running vs. Detroit. 

The blitzes invite it, and Jones can move to take advantage. 

We like Jones a lot this week. In fact…

PrizePicks lists his O/U at 185.5 passing yards. 

We think he'll hit 200 this week. 

What do you think? Let me know below.

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What about Giants pass-catchers?

Reebs thinks Darius Slayton (DK $5,000 - FD $6,300) may attract some heat. 

He's been a WR3 in 4 of last 5. 

Since week 5:

• 9th in team air yards

• 6th in yards per route

• 23rd in target rate per route run

That's WR2 usage.

For Detroit, it's our usual guy.

Amon-Ra St. Brown (DK $7,200 - FD $7,800) is set up big.

The Giants blitz on 46% of passing plays. 

Goff is decent vs. the blitz, and Amon-Ra is the reason why.

Against the blitz, Amon-Ra is 2nd among all WR in target rate per route (40%).

And NYG has been weak vs. slot guys (plays 60% of snaps there).

He hasn't scored in a while, but if he does, you could be flirting with 30 points.

Play accordingly.

RunTheSims tool puts Amon-Ra in 20% of optimal Week 11 lineups. 

We love the Sun God. How about you?

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20% off if you are a subscriber to my premium DFS and Betting Playbook:

The Lions backfield is a little murkier.

Despite the Giants allowing 2.4 yards to opposing RBs before contact. 

If Jamaal Williams (DK $6,000 - FD $7,000) doesn't score, you get nothing.

And D'Andre Swift (DK $6,100 - FD $6,700) had just 19 carries last week.

Tough plays.

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Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons (-3):

49.5 O/U is the highest on the main slate. 

Even though these 2 teams run more than anyone else. 

Crazy. 

This game has some cheap plays, and also the hottest player in fantasy football.

It should be a fun one.

We need to start with the hot hand, Justin Fields (DK $7,600 - FD $8,700).

In Weeks 1-6, he had 20 designed runs. 

Over the last 4, that number is 35!

Clearly it's working. 

Over that stretch he has 77 rushing fantasy points.

That just doesn't happen.

That Fields's passing has quietly improved is a huge bonus.

He's averaging 12.5 passing fantasy points, and at least 9.2 over the past 6 games.

It's not spectacular by any means, but add it with the rushing, and he's COOKING.

Consider the matchup too…

The Falcons:

• 31st in pressure rate 

• 31st in completion rate

• 27th in yards per attempt

• 28th in passing points allowed per game

All of this raises our confidence in Fields. 

The stack options are interesting…

Darnell Mooney (DK $5,400 - FD $6,000) has a great matchup vs. the Atlanta D.

If you want to chase the recent Cole Kmet (DK $4,100 - FD $5,700) TDs, go for it.

Atlanta doesn't allow a lot of TDs to TEs, but they do allow lots of catches.

Oh, and the best pivot?

David Montgomery (DK $6,100 - FD $6,200) might get some steam this week.

But typically, people don't like to play him.

With no Khalil Herbert, volume is there.

Especially with Atlanta allowing 15.4 rushing points per game (26th).

For the Falcon attack, Drake London (DK $5,100- FD $5,700) isn't a bad pick.

The Bears are fun for fantasy because of that poor pass defense.

Opponents score TDs on 34% of possessions on the road. 

London isn't bad value

(even though he hosed me on PrizePicks last week)

Marcus Mariota (DK $5,500 - FD $7,200) is a solid streamer... sometimes. 

Last 2 weeks:

• 31st in EPA per drop

• 5.62 yards per attempt

• Dead last in expected comp rate. 

Reebs likes Daniel Jones more in this price range.

Even if Chicago allows 8.9 yds per attempt.

Cordarrelle Patterson (DK $6,200 - FD $6,700) only had 6 touches last week. 

He should absolutely best that.

The Bears:

• Allow 18.1 rushing points per game

• Have allowed 14 TDs to running backs

C-Patt will get RZ touches too.

Forgive me for this one.

Kyle Pitts (DK $4,400 - FD $5,500) actually looks like a good play.

(I know. I know.)

We've evolved with him. 

It's no longer a question of targets. 

Now it's about whether he can catch them.

A mere 50.9% of Pitts's targets have been catchable. 

By far the worst among all TEs.

Reebs will hold his nose and play him. 

I'm sick of him. We all are. 

But with a weak TE slate and a good matchup?

You just never know.

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Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings (-1.5):

The Vikes are flying high right now after that huge Buffalo win. 

Here we have two teams with big offenses playing indoors in a tight NFC.

For DFS, this one will be popular.

We'll start on the Dallas side.

Dak Prescott (DK $6,600 - FD $7,500) has over 20 fantasy points the past 2 games.

Yes, Dak's only played 4 full games,

but in that small sample size he's shown success against the Viking-style zone.

We hope that Ezekiel Elliot (DK $6,000 - FD $7,000) doesn't come back.

Tony Pollard (DK $6,500 - FD $8,000) has been such an explosive player lately. 

Even if Zeke plays, Pollard is a good GPP pivot.

Guys in his price range, like Rhamondre Stevenson will be higher owned.

For Dallas pass-catchers, I really like CeeDee Lamb (DK $7,500 - FD $8,100):

• Top-5 in team target share

• Top-3 in targets per route run

• Top-5 in share of team air yards

The only snag is Dallas's passing volume…

For Dallas pass-catchers, I really like CeeDee Lamb (DK $7,500 - FD $8,100):

• Top-5 in team target share

• Top-3 in targets per route run

• Top-5 in share of team air yards

The only snag is Dallas's passing volume…

Reebs's favorite Cowboy is Dalton Schultz (DK $4,300 - FD $5,900).

He ran a pass route on 73% of team drop backs last week. 

So the volume is there.

But he's been big with Dak under center…

When Dak is the QB, Schultz: 

• A TE1 in all 4 games

• 2.28 yards per route run

• Targeted on 27.8% of routes run

Over the season that's top-2. 

And Minnesota vs. TEs: 

• Allows 8.2 yards per target

• Allows a 7.3% TD rate to the position

On the Minnesota side, we have some expensive guys. 

But Dalvin Cook (DK $8,000 - FD $8,300) makes a lot of sense.

He's averaging 20.7 PPR points over the last 2. 

And Dallas has been gashed on the ground, giving up 447 yards last 2 weeks.

The targets are back for Dalvin too.

Kirk Cousins (DK $6,100 - FD $7,600) is having a weird season.

Despite the chains and the swag, he's got career-lows in comp. rate and TD rate.

He's also bad under pressure, where his completion rate drops 31%

Guess who's 1st in pressure rate...

Dallas, obviously.

Justin Jefferson (DK $9,100 - FD $9,100) is the flip side of that coin.

When Cousins is under pressure, Jefferson:

• Has 37% of team targets

• Targeted on 25.7% of his routes

The newest Viking has also unlocked him…

While T.J. Hockenson (DK $5,300 - FD $6,500) himself has been about the same,

Jefferson's depth of target has soared.

Before Hock:

• 18.3% intermediate routes

• 9.9% deep downfield routes 

After Hock:

• 31% intermediate routes

• 24.1 % deep downfield routes

Finally, in the last 2 games, Jefferson has had 7 targets of 20+ yards. 

That matches his number from weeks 1-8.

If Cousins can get the time, he could feast.

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